Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000105 0.000118 0.000131 0.000147 0.000164 0.000182 0.000204
2024-10-06 0.000088 0.000105 0.000124 0.000148 0.000175 0.000207 0.000247
2024-10-13 0.000074 0.000094 0.000117 0.000146 0.000184 0.000229 0.000287
2024-10-20 0.000065 0.000086 0.000112 0.000148 0.000194 0.000253 0.000334
2024-10-27 0.000058 0.000080 0.000109 0.000149 0.000204 0.000278 0.000382
2024-11-03 0.000051 0.000073 0.000103 0.000147 0.000210 0.000296 0.000424
2024-11-10 0.000047 0.000069 0.000101 0.000150 0.000222 0.000324 0.000480
2024-11-17 0.000042 0.000064 0.000097 0.000149 0.000228 0.000343 0.000526
2024-11-24 0.000038 0.000061 0.000095 0.000150 0.000236 0.000366 0.000579
2024-12-01 0.000035 0.000057 0.000091 0.000148 0.000240 0.000383 0.000624
2024-12-08 0.000032 0.000053 0.000088 0.000147 0.000245 0.000401 0.000672
2024-12-15 0.000029 0.000051 0.000085 0.000146 0.000251 0.000422 0.000725
2024-12-22 0.000027 0.000048 0.000083 0.000147 0.000258 0.000445 0.000787
2024-12-29 0.000025 0.000046 0.000081 0.000147 0.000266 0.000470 0.000853
2025-01-05 0.000023 0.000043 0.000078 0.000146 0.000270 0.000490 0.000911
2025-01-12 0.000021 0.000041 0.000077 0.000147 0.000279 0.000518 0.000987
2025-01-19 0.000020 0.000040 0.000076 0.000148 0.000287 0.000547 0.001067
2025-01-26 0.000019 0.000037 0.000073 0.000146 0.000290 0.000565 0.001127
2025-02-02 0.000018 0.000036 0.000073 0.000149 0.000302 0.000601 0.001226
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000035 0.000071 0.000148 0.000307 0.000622 0.001297
2025-02-16 0.000015 0.000033 0.000070 0.000148 0.000314 0.000651 0.001385
2025-02-23 0.000014 0.000032 0.000067 0.000146 0.000317 0.000669 0.001453
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000030 0.000066 0.000145 0.000321 0.000690 0.001530